Why the two benchmarks differ
Planning authorities focus on whether the scheme delivers a developer return at all (PoGDV is robust to small cost changes). Lenders focus on cost recovery (PoC measures the cushion above their loan).
When 25 percent is reasonable
- Heritage or unknown-structure conversion: schemes carry tail risk.
- Speculative GDV (Bakerloo, HS2, regen uplift): underwrite without the uplift.
- Long-hold BTR delivery into uncertain yield environment.
When 15 percent is acceptable
- Affordable housing schemes where social-rent revenue caps GDV.
- BTR with a forward-funded exit and committed yield.
- Self-build personal projects (no equity-investor return required).